Arctic Climate Predictions: Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies (ARCPATH)

Lead Author Leslie, King
Institution Contact Royal Roads University 2005 Sooke Road, Victoria BC V9B 5Y2 Canada
Co-Authors Astrid Ogilvie, Stefansson Arctic Institute, Iceland Neils Einarsson, Stefansson Arctic Institut, Iceland
Theme Theme 1: Vulnerability of Arctic Environments
Session Name 1.1 Climate Change and Environmental Management in the Arctic
Datetime Wed, Sep 14, 2016 03:40 PM - 04:00 PM
Presentation Type Oral
Abstract text ARCPATH is an interdisciplinary Centre of Excellence project recently funded by NordForsk ( Nordic team members are from Iceland, Norway, Denmark and Sweden with international members from Canada, USA, UK, Russia, China, and Germany. It is led by Yongqi Gao, Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Centre, Norway, and Astrid Ogilvie, Stefansson Arctic Institute, Iceland, with co-applicants Níels Einarsson (Stefansson Arctic Institute) and Leslie King (Royal Roads University) among others. The context of the project is that recent rapid changes in the Arctic are a challenge to human welfare already at risk from socio-economic as well as climatic drivers. The project’s main goals are: i) To predict regional changes in Arctic climate over the coming decades using innovative methods to capture both anthropogenic and natural factors in global and high-resolution regional models; ii) To increase understanding regarding how changes in climate interact with multiple societal factors, including the development of local and regional adaptation measures; iii) To combine improved regional climate predictions with enhanced understanding of environmental, societal, and economic interactions in order to supply new knowledge on potential “pathways to action”. These will be achieved through cross-disciplinary collaboration including: climatology; environmental science; environmental economics; oceanography and cryosphere research; marine and fisheries biology; fisheries management; governance systems; human eco-dynamics; and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK). Drawing on these separate but interlinking disciplines will enable ARCPATH to form a truly synergistic centre of excellence where the overarching goal is to foster responsible and sustainable development in northern communities. The project will focus on three Arctic regions: northern Iceland, eastern Greenland, and northern Norway. Research results will have clearly defined socio-economic relevance to the national interest of Nordic countries, and these will be disseminated to policy makers and stakeholder groups. This presentation will present the research plan as well as emerging findings of the project.
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